Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings). Tavares wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Couturier 54.6% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 25-12 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 64.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 94.3%
Neutral zone
Couturier 80.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Tavares
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
12
(37 meetings)
25
12
Tavares
Couturier
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
2
Tavares
Couturier
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
6
Tavares
Couturier
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
4
Tavares
Couturier
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
55.5% (887)
-6.8%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
51.9% (79)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
54.0% (100)
-6.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Tavares shoots left. Couturier is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (737).
Home / Away
Tavares
Couturier
Home
52.1% (841)
52.4% (521)
Away
49.0% (787)
57.6% (545)
By Period
Tavares
Couturier
P1
52.2%
53.4%
P2
50.7%
55.7%
P3
49.7%
56.6%
OT
37.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:40 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 13:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:22 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 03:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 19:16 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 11:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 05:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 15:36 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |