Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Couturier 53.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 59.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 55.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Tavares
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tavares
Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
53.8% (1,003)
+5.4%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
56.4% (202)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
42.7% (89)
+0.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Tavares
Couturier
Home
57.5% (668)
54.4% (680)
Away
61.1% (684)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Tavares
Couturier
P1
58.0%
56.3%
P2
60.1%
51.8%
P3
61.0%
52.2%
OT
27.8%
60.9%
Final 5 min
60.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:23 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | John Tavares |