Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Dellandrea 44.1% (+17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.1%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 59.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Tavares
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Tavares
Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Dellandrea
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
1
Tavares
Dellandrea
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Dellandrea
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
42.7% (143)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
39.5% (81)
+3.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Dellandrea is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dellandrea
Home
57.5% (668)
41.9% (105)
Away
61.1% (684)
41.2% (119)
By Period
Tavares
Dellandrea
P1
58.0%
44.4%
P2
60.1%
39.5%
P3
61.0%
41.4%
OT
27.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |