Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Dellandrea 49.2% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.6%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 76.0%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Tavares
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Tavares
Dellandrea
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
2
Tavares
Dellandrea
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
2
5
Tavares
Dellandrea
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
3
Tavares
Dellandrea
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
50.5% (1,108)
+3.5%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
59.4% (32)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
43.4% (318)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Dellandrea is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,147).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dellandrea
Home
56.1% (10,503)
49.4% (741)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
49.0% (717)
By Period
Tavares
Dellandrea
P1
55.0%
49.7%
P2
54.1%
48.6%
P3
54.1%
49.4%
OT
55.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:19 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 06:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:31 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |