Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Dellandrea 49.9% (+8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.5%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 56.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 60.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.1%
65.1%
34.9%
Tavares
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Tavares
Dellandrea
Last 9: Tavares 6-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Dellandrea
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Dellandrea
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
51.1% (356)
+6.6%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
100.0% (6)
-39.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
36.8% (57)
+19.6%
On power play, Dellandrea has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (337).
Home / Away
Tavares
Dellandrea
Home
59.7% (610)
46.7% (180)
Away
57.0% (698)
52.3% (239)
By Period
Tavares
Dellandrea
P1
57.2%
47.8%
P2
58.5%
50.9%
P3
59.4%
50.8%
Final 5 min
57.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:16 | Neutral | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:06 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |