Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.4% vs Johnson 49.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 39-26 in 65 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 85.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 64.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 82.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Tavares
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
26
(65 meetings)
39
26
Tavares
Johnson
Last 10: Tavares 9-1 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
21
6
Tavares
Johnson
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
11
Tavares
Johnson
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
5
9
Tavares
Johnson
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (16,108)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.2%
Power Play
56.5% (4,283)
54.6% (885)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.6% (620)
42.3% (707)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Tavares is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (7,535).
Tavares shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Tavares
Johnson
Home
56.1% (10,503)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
52.7% (10,537)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Tavares
Johnson
P1
55.0%
50.1%
P2
54.1%
50.6%
P3
54.1%
48.4%
OT
55.9%
42.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 11:54 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 1 | 13:06 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 03:34 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 3 | 11:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 14, 2016 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |