Scouting Report
Tyler Johnson holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Johnson 51.4% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 66.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Tavares
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
63.6% (11)
-5.9%
On even strength, Johnson has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Johnson is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Tavares
Johnson
Home
59.7% (610)
62.5% (8)
Away
57.0% (698)
66.7% (3)
By Period
Tavares
Johnson
P2
58.5%
85.7%
P3
59.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
63.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |