Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Johnson 50.7% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Johnson 60.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 62.9%
Neutral zone
Johnson 54.7%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Tavares
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
47.4% (78)
+10.1%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
57.6% (33)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
100.0% (2)
-40.9%
On penalty kill, Johnson has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Johnson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Home / Away
Tavares
Johnson
Home
61.0% (661)
50.9% (57)
Away
55.3% (584)
51.8% (56)
By Period
Tavares
Johnson
P1
58.6%
44.1%
P2
57.8%
59.4%
P3
58.4%
52.3%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
63.4%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%