Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.6% vs 60.8%). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Johnson 53.6% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 58.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.4%
Neutral zone
Johnson 55.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Tavares
Johnson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
61.9% (42)
-1.0%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
55.6% (9)
+4.8%
On power play, Tavares has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Johnson is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Home / Away
Tavares
Johnson
Home
63.5% (684)
52.0% (25)
Away
57.6% (658)
69.2% (26)
By Period
Tavares
Johnson
P1
60.3%
72.0%
P2
60.4%
66.7%
P3
60.1%
27.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
60.8%