John Tavares vs Zemgus Girgensons
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.5%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 68.3%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 71.5%
71.5%
28.5%
Tavares
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Tavares
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
46.3% (147)
+12.9%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
66.7% (3)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
51.1% (47)
-8.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Girgensons is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (114).
Home / Away
Tavares
Girgensons
Home
57.5% (668)
34.2% (79)
Away
61.1% (684)
56.8% (118)
By Period
Tavares
Girgensons
P1
58.0%
56.5%
P2
60.1%
38.1%
P3
61.0%
47.7%
Final 5 min
60.7%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |