John Tavares vs Zemgus Girgensons
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Girgensons 48.5% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 50.9%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 54.8%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 60.2%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Tavares
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Tavares
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Tavares
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
47.2% (127)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
50.0% (2)
+6.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Girgensons is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Home / Away
Tavares
Girgensons
Home
59.7% (610)
50.0% (80)
Away
57.0% (698)
42.9% (49)
By Period
Tavares
Girgensons
P1
57.2%
40.5%
P2
58.5%
54.3%
P3
59.4%
45.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
58.3%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |