Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Hayes 43.8% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 52.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 66.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Drouin
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
42.7% (478)
+5.6%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
42.9% (98)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.2% (31)
-45.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Drouin is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Drouin shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hayes
Home
45.8% (24)
43.5% (232)
Away
47.6% (42)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Drouin
Hayes
P1
46.2%
40.1%
P2
43.5%
44.8%
P3
52.9%
42.4%
Final 5 min
47.6%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%