Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Hayes 49.5% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 59.8%
Defensive zone
Drouin 62.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.1%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Drouin
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Drouin
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Drouin
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Drouin
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
1
0
Drouin
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
48.5% (557)
-3.4%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
53.3% (107)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
58.3% (12)
-58.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Drouin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Drouin shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hayes
Home
37.5% (160)
50.8% (313)
Away
49.5% (220)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Drouin
Hayes
P1
40.3%
52.3%
P2
43.3%
47.7%
P3
49.6%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
48.0%▼
50.5%
44.5%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |