Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 49.5% vs Hayes 42.7% (+13.5%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 53.3%
Defensive zone
Drouin 56.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.6%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Drouin
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
31.9% (91)
+15.6%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
64.3% (14)
-7.5%
On even strength, Drouin has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Drouin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Drouin shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hayes
Home
49.5% (97)
30.6% (49)
Away
49.2% (128)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Drouin
Hayes
P1
52.1%
22.9%
P2
51.5%
40.0%
P3
45.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%