Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Kastelic 54.5% (-11.3%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 82.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 70.6%
Neutral zone
Drouin 51.3%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Drouin
Kastelic
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
56.5% (115)
-8.2%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
100.0% (3)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (2)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drouin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Drouin shoots left. Kastelic is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Drouin
Kastelic
Home
45.8% (24)
54.8% (73)
Away
47.6% (42)
63.8% (47)
By Period
Drouin
Kastelic
P1
46.2%
50.0%
P2
43.5%
62.5%
P3
52.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
58.3%