Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 91.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 60.9%
Neutral zone
Drouin 65.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 65.7%
65.7%
34.3%
Drouin
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Drouin
Kastelic
Last 6: Drouin 2-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Drouin
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Drouin
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Drouin
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
58.0% (476)
-12.9%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
75.0% (8)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
50.9% (106)
-50.9%
On penalty kill, Kastelic has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drouin is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Drouin shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Drouin
Kastelic
Home
37.5% (160)
64.9% (265)
Away
49.5% (220)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Drouin
Kastelic
P1
40.3%
58.5%
P2
43.3%
55.6%
P3
49.6%
56.8%
Final 5 min
37.1%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |