Jonathan Drouin vs Mark Kastelic
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 94.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 64.3%
Neutral zone
Drouin 77.5%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Drouin
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Drouin
Kastelic
Last 7: Drouin 2-5 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Drouin
Kastelic
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
2
Drouin
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Drouin
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
57.0% (1,613)
-13.5%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
80.0% (25)
-31.7%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
53.6% (274)
-14.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +31.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Drouin is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (849).
Drouin shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Drouin
Kastelic
Home
44.0% (1,041)
58.9% (895)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Drouin
Kastelic
P1
45.9%
58.5%
P2
42.0%
56.9%
P3
45.0%
55.3%
OT
47.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
42.9%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 08:46 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |