Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Drouin wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 43.2% vs Dowd 50.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Drouin leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 72.3%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.4%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Drouin
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Drouin
Dowd
Last 10: Drouin 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
4
0
Drouin
Dowd
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
2
7
Drouin
Dowd
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (869)
51.6% (343)
-10.1%
Power Play
47.9% (167)
50.0% (2)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
47.1% (51)
-7.1%
On even strength, Dowd has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drouin is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (363).
Drouin shoots left. Dowd is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Drouin
Dowd
Home
42.8% (502)
43.0% (172)
Away
42.3% (549)
57.1% (224)
By Period
Drouin
Dowd
P1
44.0%
47.4%
P2
39.7%
60.6%
P3
44.4%
44.7%
OT
37.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
42.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 09:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 16:43 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |