Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 45.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 89.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 90.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 66.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Drouin
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drouin
Dowd
Last 6: Drouin 3-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
2
0
Drouin
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drouin
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Drouin
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (355)
55.2% (625)
-10.1%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
57.1% (7)
-16.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
38.2% (220)
-38.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drouin is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (150).
Drouin shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Drouin
Dowd
Home
37.5% (160)
53.7% (445)
Away
49.5% (220)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Drouin
Dowd
P1
40.3%
48.8%
P2
43.3%
49.3%
P3
49.6%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
37.1%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 08:52 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Dec 31, 2022 | 1 | 18:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |