Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.8% vs Dowd 48.3% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 89.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 95.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Drouin
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (60)
49.2% (778)
+2.5%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
58.3% (12)
-6.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drouin is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (40).
Drouin shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Drouin
Dowd
Home
57.9% (57)
46.3% (492)
Away
39.3% (28)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Drouin
Dowd
P1
61.8%
49.1%
P2
50.0%
48.2%
P3
36.8%
46.9%
Final 5 min
35.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%