Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Dowd 53.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 92.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.2%
Neutral zone
Drouin 63.9%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Drouin
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Drouin
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Drouin
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Drouin
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
55.4% (771)
-7.1%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
57.1% (7)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.5% (165)
-45.5%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Drouin is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Drouin shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Drouin
Dowd
Home
45.8% (24)
58.2% (462)
Away
47.6% (42)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Drouin
Dowd
P1
46.2%
55.6%
P2
43.5%
50.5%
P3
52.9%
53.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |