Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Drouin wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 48.8% vs Sturm 52.5% (-6.0%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 75.2%
Defensive zone
Sturm 80.4%
Neutral zone
Sturm 57.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Drouin
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (58)
54.0% (480)
-5.7%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
28.6% (7)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (102)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Drouin is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (34).
Drouin shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Drouin
Sturm
Home
45.8% (24)
54.0% (287)
Away
47.6% (42)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Drouin
Sturm
P1
46.2%
53.5%
P2
43.5%
51.0%
P3
52.9%
55.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%