Scouting Report
Jonathan Drouin holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 50.8% vs Cates 45.8% (+7.3%)
Offensive zone
Drouin 70.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 79.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 56.1%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Drouin
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (60)
44.3% (271)
+7.4%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
77.8% (18)
-25.8%
On power play, Cates has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Drouin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Drouin shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Drouin
Cates
Home
57.9% (57)
52.0% (148)
Away
39.3% (28)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Drouin
Cates
P1
61.8%
42.7%
P2
50.0%
42.9%
P3
36.8%
48.5%
Final 5 min
35.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
51.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%