Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Miller wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Toews 57.5% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 63.5%
Defensive zone
Miller 63.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 63.1%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Miller
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Miller
Toews
Last 7: Miller 2-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Miller
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Miller
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (627)
58.4% (1,115)
-3.5%
Power Play
53.7% (136)
61.3% (256)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
50.5% (182)
-2.9%
On power play, Toews has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Miller is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Miller shoots left. Toews is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,035).
Home / Away
Miller
Toews
Home
54.7% (486)
59.5% (783)
Away
53.6% (319)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Miller
Toews
P1
48.6%
58.4%
P2
59.6%
59.4%
P3
53.9%
55.9%
OT
60.0%
61.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 2 | 09:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 15, 2017 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |