Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 58.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 58.1% vs Toews 56.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 55.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 60.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Miller
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Miller
Toews
Last 8: Miller 2-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Miller
Toews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Miller
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Miller
Toews
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (618)
55.9% (1,014)
+2.5%
Power Play
69.1% (55)
62.8% (301)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
57.8% (45)
55.9% (179)
+1.9%
On power play, Miller has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Miller is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (497).
Miller shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Home / Away
Miller
Toews
Home
58.7% (390)
56.6% (709)
Away
59.8% (328)
58.0% (785)
By Period
Miller
Toews
P1
59.5%
60.4%
P2
61.6%
57.6%
P3
56.4%
54.3%
OT
46.2%
59.4%
Final 5 min
64.8%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.2%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 00:05 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 08:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 2 | 00:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 1 | 11:16 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 08:01 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |