Joe Pavelski vs Jonathan Toews

2010-11 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jonathan Toews holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pavelski 53.9% vs Toews 56.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor Toews leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone Toews 61.0%
Defensive zone Pavelski 70.1%
Neutral zone Pavelski 55.6%
Result Joe Pavelski favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Pavelski Toews
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 8 (11 meetings)
3
8
Pavelski Toews
Last 10: Pavelski 3-7 Toews

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
5
Pavelski Toews
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Pavelski Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Pavelski Toews
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pavelski
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (682)
55.6% (1,125)
-2.2%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
59.3% (312)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (160)
57.4% (204)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +9.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Toews shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Pavelski shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Toews
Home
59.0% (527)
59.8% (858)
Away
49.3% (493)
53.3% (795)
By Period
Pavelski
Toews
P1
50.8%
58.7%
P2
58.9%
55.1%
P3
53.6%
56.5%
OT
42.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
54.1%
56.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%
52.0%
54.3%
Toews
58.0%
61.0%
56.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 14, 2011 2 19:47 Defensive Jonathan Toews
Mar 14, 2011 2 16:37 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Mar 14, 2011 2 05:16 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Mar 14, 2011 2 02:34 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Mar 14, 2011 2 02:09 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Mar 14, 2011 1 02:07 Offensive Joe Pavelski
Dec 11, 2010 1 13:59 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Nov 24, 2010 3 18:06 Offensive Jonathan Toews
Nov 24, 2010 2 19:50 Defensive Jonathan Toews
Nov 24, 2010 2 12:55 Defensive Joe Pavelski
Nov 24, 2010 2 03:08 Neutral Jonathan Toews