Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 54.4% vs Toews 57.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 58.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 59.8%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Pavelski
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Pavelski
Toews
Last 6: Pavelski 1-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Pavelski
Toews
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
2
Pavelski
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (690)
58.4% (1,115)
-5.2%
Power Play
61.5% (174)
61.3% (256)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (47)
50.5% (182)
+4.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Pavelski is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Pavelski shoots right. Toews is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (518).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Toews
Home
56.1% (421)
59.5% (783)
Away
53.9% (490)
56.4% (770)
By Period
Pavelski
Toews
P1
57.1%
58.4%
P2
55.8%
59.4%
P3
52.5%
55.9%
OT
44.4%
61.1%
Final 5 min
60.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.9%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 10:22 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 06:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 04:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |