Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Norris 49.7% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 56.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 57.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 57.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Toews
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Toews
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
1
Toews
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
50.0% (356)
+12.5%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
48.7% (76)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
42.9% (7)
+4.0%
On even strength, Toews has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Toews shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Toews
Norris
Home
60.9% (435)
47.2% (193)
Away
62.0% (434)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Toews
Norris
P1
59.8%
53.8%
P2
65.7%
48.2%
P3
58.8%
47.9%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Josh Norris |