Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Norris 52.9% (+5.2%)
Offensive zone
Toews 70.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 53.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Toews
Norris
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
63.9% (36)
-2.8%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
50.0% (2)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
47.4% (19)
+12.2%
On power play, Toews has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Toews
Norris
Home
64.8% (560)
62.2% (37)
Away
60.6% (381)
50.0% (20)
By Period
Toews
Norris
P1
62.3%
64.3%
P2
63.9%
59.1%
P3
62.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%