Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Norris 52.1% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 93.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 77.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 84.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Toews
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Toews
Norris
Last 9: Toews 7-2 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Toews
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
52.5% (3,057)
+4.7%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
53.7% (404)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
45.4% (240)
+8.2%
On power play, Toews has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Toews
Norris
Home
59.7% (9,192)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Toews
Norris
P1
58.6%
55.6%
P2
57.8%
51.4%
P3
57.3%
50.1%
OT
58.9%
40.5%
Final 5 min
58.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |