Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Norris 51.0% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 84.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 93.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 85.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Toews
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Toews
Norris
Last 8: Toews 7-1 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Norris
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Norris
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
51.2% (886)
+6.8%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
59.0% (83)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
38.8% (67)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Toews
Norris
Home
59.3% (637)
55.6% (487)
Away
58.7% (699)
47.0% (549)
By Period
Toews
Norris
P1
61.5%
54.8%
P2
55.2%
51.3%
P3
60.0%
48.0%
OT
70.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 11:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |