Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Barzal 46.9% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 71.6%
Defensive zone
Barzal 50.9%
Neutral zone
Barzal 62.7%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Toews
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Toews
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Toews
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
46.6% (483)
+11.4%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
40.9% (22)
+28.6%
On power play, Toews has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Toews
Barzal
Home
59.3% (637)
49.6% (242)
Away
58.7% (699)
43.3% (263)
By Period
Toews
Barzal
P1
61.5%
42.4%
P2
55.2%
49.5%
P3
60.0%
47.7%
OT
70.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |