Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +27.5% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Barzal 39.3% (+27.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 77.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 95.2%
Neutral zone
Toews 90.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Toews
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Toews
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
35.0% (283)
+26.1%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
55.6% (9)
+16.3%
On even strength, Toews has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Toews
Barzal
Home
64.8% (560)
37.0% (138)
Away
60.6% (381)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Toews
Barzal
P1
62.3%
29.5%
P2
63.9%
44.5%
P3
62.8%
31.8%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |