Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Duchene 55.3% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 61.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 81.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 61.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Toews
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Toews
Duchene
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Duchene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,014)
56.0% (579)
-0.1%
Power Play
62.8% (301)
59.3% (108)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
55.9% (179)
25.0% (8)
+30.9%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +30.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Toews is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (903).
Toews shoots left. Duchene is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Toews
Duchene
Home
56.6% (709)
54.9% (375)
Away
58.0% (785)
57.5% (320)
By Period
Toews
Duchene
P1
60.4%
58.3%
P2
57.6%
56.7%
P3
54.3%
53.1%
OT
59.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
58.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2020 | OT | 01:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 03:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |