Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Duchene 52.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 84.7%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Toews
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Toews
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Toews
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
46.9% (162)
+11.1%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
73.2% (56)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
100.0% (2)
-48.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Toews
Duchene
Home
59.3% (637)
58.4% (125)
Away
58.7% (699)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Toews
Duchene
P1
61.5%
56.9%
P2
55.2%
52.5%
P3
60.0%
51.9%
OT
70.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |