Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 86.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 94.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 88.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Toews
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
4
(18 meetings)
14
4
Toews
Zibanejad
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
9
2
Toews
Zibanejad
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Toews
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
54.0% (955)
+4.0%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
55.6% (243)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
35.0% (140)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Toews
Zibanejad
Home
59.3% (637)
55.2% (656)
Away
58.7% (699)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Toews
Zibanejad
P1
61.5%
56.3%
P2
55.2%
50.0%
P3
60.0%
51.2%
OT
70.6%
52.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 16:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:13 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 18:02 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:43 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 06:29 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |