Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 71.8% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.3% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 79.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 50.7%
Neutral zone
Toews 67.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Toews
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Toews
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
62.5% (696)
53.4% (770)
+9.1%
Power Play
59.6% (141)
46.2% (39)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
44.7% (141)
+2.2%
On power play, Toews has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Toews shoots left. Zibanejad is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Toews
Zibanejad
Home
60.9% (435)
49.0% (429)
Away
62.0% (434)
54.1% (521)
By Period
Toews
Zibanejad
P1
59.8%
53.0%
P2
65.7%
51.1%
P3
58.8%
51.0%
OT
80.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |