Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 94.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 79.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Toews
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Toews
Zibanejad
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Toews
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
50.1% (1,051)
+11.0%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
58.3% (120)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
41.9% (227)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Toews
Zibanejad
Home
64.8% (560)
49.0% (681)
Away
60.6% (381)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Toews
Zibanejad
P1
62.3%
49.9%
P2
63.9%
47.6%
P3
62.8%
51.1%
OT
70.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
60.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 08:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 06:35 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |