Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 60.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Foligno 52.3% (+7.5%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.4%
Defensive zone
Foligno 51.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Toews
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
52.0% (50)
+9.1%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
66.7% (21)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
0.0% (1)
+59.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +59.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Toews shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Toews
Foligno
Home
64.8% (560)
51.2% (41)
Away
60.6% (381)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Toews
Foligno
P1
62.3%
55.6%
P2
63.9%
48.0%
P3
62.8%
65.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%