Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 59.8% vs Foligno 49.4% (+12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 91.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 61.0%
Neutral zone
Toews 84.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Toews
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Toews
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
63.4% (555)
49.3% (215)
+14.1%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
57.1% (35)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
41.9% (43)
+4.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Toews shoots left. Foligno is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Toews
Foligno
Home
59.6% (329)
47.5% (158)
Away
62.7% (365)
51.1% (135)
By Period
Toews
Foligno
P1
62.2%
42.7%
P2
64.7%
51.4%
P3
56.8%
51.9%
OT
75.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
61.2%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |