Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Foligno 48.6% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 55.0%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Toews
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Toews
Foligno
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
3
Toews
Foligno
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
6
Toews
Foligno
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
5
2
Toews
Foligno
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
48.3% (2,810)
+8.9%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
52.3% (730)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
44.0% (455)
+9.6%
On power play, Toews has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Toews
Foligno
Home
59.7% (9,192)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Toews
Foligno
P1
58.6%
47.6%
P2
57.8%
50.4%
P3
57.3%
48.3%
OT
58.9%
29.7%
Final 5 min
58.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 03:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 1 | 18:05 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 1 | 11:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 08:43 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 18:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |