Jonathan Toews vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 107 meetings). Toews wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 186-130 in 316 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 60.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 69.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 64.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Toews
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
130
-
186
(316 meetings)
130
186
Toews
O'Reilly
Last 10: Toews 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
61
53
Toews
O'Reilly
114 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
32
75
Toews
O'Reilly
107 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
37
58
Toews
O'Reilly
95 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
56.2% (15,260)
+1.0%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
58.8% (3,445)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
51.4% (2,811)
+2.2%
On power play, Toews has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Toews shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,860).
Home / Away
Toews
O'Reilly
Home
59.7% (9,192)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Toews
O'Reilly
P1
58.6%
55.6%
P2
57.8%
57.0%
P3
57.3%
55.1%
OT
58.9%
62.2%
Final 5 min
58.2%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 05:34 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 3 | 10:30 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 19:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |