Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 63.5% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Strome 45.0% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 73.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 87.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 86.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Toews
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Toews
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Strome
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Strome
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
44.1% (749)
+13.9%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
46.2% (52)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
52.9% (17)
-1.2%
On power play, Toews has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Toews is 63.5% vs right-shot opponents (515).
Toews shoots left. Strome is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Home / Away
Toews
Strome
Home
59.3% (637)
45.1% (441)
Away
58.7% (699)
43.5% (377)
By Period
Toews
Strome
P1
61.5%
42.9%
P2
55.2%
44.4%
P3
60.0%
45.8%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |