Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on neutral-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Strome 44.6% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 19-12 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 93.4%
Defensive zone
Toews 90.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 92.2%
92.2%
7.8%
Toews
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
12
(31 meetings)
19
12
Toews
Strome
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
4
Toews
Strome
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
7
6
Toews
Strome
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
7
2
Toews
Strome
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
44.1% (6,839)
+13.1%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
49.3% (854)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
41.5% (410)
+12.1%
On power play, Toews has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Strome is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,726).
Home / Away
Toews
Strome
Home
59.7% (9,192)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Toews
Strome
P1
58.6%
44.0%
P2
57.8%
45.3%
P3
57.3%
44.3%
OT
58.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
58.2%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 11:39 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 02:47 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 07:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |