Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Strome 44.4% (+19.3%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 94.8%
Defensive zone
Toews 96.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 93.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 94.8%
94.8%
5.2%
Toews
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Toews
Strome
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
1
Toews
Strome
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
2
Toews
Strome
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
43.0% (788)
+18.1%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
47.9% (96)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
50.0% (34)
+9.6%
On power play, Toews has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Strome is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (685).
Home / Away
Toews
Strome
Home
64.8% (560)
42.6% (486)
Away
60.6% (381)
45.1% (432)
By Period
Toews
Strome
P1
62.3%
41.0%
P2
63.9%
47.8%
P3
62.8%
42.1%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 19:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |