Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Gagner 47.1% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 14-5 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 92.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 84.5%
Neutral zone
Toews 94.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Toews
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
5
(19 meetings)
14
5
Toews
Gagner
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
4
0
Toews
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
5
2
Toews
Gagner
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
5
3
Toews
Gagner
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,143)
45.9% (815)
+10.0%
Power Play
65.1% (304)
55.3% (132)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (97)
25.0% (16)
+23.5%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Toews is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Toews shoots left. Gagner is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Toews
Gagner
Home
61.7% (810)
48.7% (542)
Away
52.3% (734)
44.4% (421)
By Period
Toews
Gagner
P1
56.0%
45.1%
P2
56.9%
46.6%
P3
59.3%
49.7%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
61.2%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
57.3%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 01:04 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:04 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:58 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 03:39 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |