Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +32.7% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Gagner 43.8% (+32.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 83.2%
Defensive zone
Toews 90.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 86.2%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 88.5%
88.5%
11.5%
Toews
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Toews
Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
31.0% (29)
+30.1%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
29.4% (17)
+42.5%
On power play, Toews has a +42.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Gagner is 27.8% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
Toews
Gagner
Home
64.8% (560)
36.8% (19)
Away
60.6% (381)
25.9% (27)
By Period
Toews
Gagner
P1
62.3%
27.8%
P2
63.9%
15.4%
P3
62.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
60.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
30.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |