Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 29 meetings). Toews wins 60.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Gagner 46.0% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 51-24 in 75 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 96.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 97.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 97.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 97.2%
97.2%
2.8%
Toews
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
51
-
24
(75 meetings)
51
24
Toews
Gagner
Last 10: Toews 8-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
16
4
Toews
Gagner
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
22
7
Toews
Gagner
29 total
Neutral Zone
Even
13
13
Toews
Gagner
26 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,047)
45.4% (4,699)
+11.8%
Power Play
63.3% (3,252)
51.5% (928)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
35.0% (226)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,486).
Toews shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Toews
Gagner
Home
59.7% (9,192)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
56.1% (8,948)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Toews
Gagner
P1
58.6%
44.6%
P2
57.8%
46.1%
P3
57.3%
47.3%
OT
58.9%
42.0%
Final 5 min
58.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:18 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 07:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 16:27 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 3 | 09:38 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 9, 2015 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 12, 2014 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |