Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Toews wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.8% vs Stamkos 49.3% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 86.0%
Defensive zone
Toews 63.4%
Neutral zone
Toews 87.6%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 77.3%
77.3%
22.7%
Toews
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Toews
Stamkos
Last 10: Toews 7-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
3
1
Toews
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,143)
49.0% (433)
+6.9%
Power Play
65.1% (304)
54.3% (70)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (97)
38.5% (26)
+10.0%
On power play, Toews has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Toews is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (625).
Toews shoots left. Stamkos is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Toews
Stamkos
Home
61.7% (810)
51.1% (327)
Away
52.3% (734)
46.0% (202)
By Period
Toews
Stamkos
P1
56.0%
46.6%
P2
56.9%
51.5%
P3
59.3%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
61.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.3%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:56 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 24, 2013 | 1 | 06:28 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 17:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 15:46 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |