Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 66.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 61.9% vs Stamkos 53.4% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 70.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 82.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 78.1%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 82.8%
82.8%
17.2%
Toews
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Toews
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
0
Toews
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (650)
55.3% (628)
+5.8%
Power Play
71.9% (192)
55.1% (216)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
59.6% (99)
40.2% (87)
+19.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Toews is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Toews shoots left. Stamkos is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (659).
Home / Away
Toews
Stamkos
Home
64.8% (560)
55.5% (499)
Away
60.6% (381)
51.9% (432)
By Period
Toews
Stamkos
P1
62.3%
50.7%
P2
63.9%
53.8%
P3
62.8%
55.9%
OT
70.0%
87.5%
Final 5 min
60.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |